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The Honest Record

How our Greyhound calls actually performed · 38,658 settled races
Today Last 7 days All time

Most tipping sites show you their winners and quietly forget the rest. We do the opposite: here's every call, scored against the result — including where backing blindly loses money. We'd rather you trust us than be impressed by us.

◎ Our Best Bets solid

Not every race — only the confidence plays we actually publish (the dominant-favourite calls on the Best Bets page and our Telegram channel), scored against the result. 7,236 sent live, 9,516 reconstructed from before the channel launched.

What we actually do: point you at the right races. Across all 38,658 races, blindly backing every favourite — versus following the 16,739 dominant-favourite races we actually flag as Best Bets.

WinPlace
Back every favourite, every race 43.6% 75.6%
Follow our Best Bets 56.5% 84.2%
The difference we make +12.9 pts +8.6 pts

Straight talk: that lift is better race selection, not better prices — we point you at the races where the favourite is genuinely solid, and tell you to pass the rest. No one profits flat-backing favourites to win (the market's too efficient, and on a level-stake win bet our published calls still run -10.5%). We show that because it's the honest, hardest test. The value isn't the flat win bet — it's knowing which races are worth your attention, a 84% place strike that anchors multis and exotics, and the discipline to pass the rest. Honesty over hype — every time.

These are the same confidence plays on the Best Bets page and broadcast free on Telegram. The full call — prices and stance — is on each race page for members.

43.6%
Market fav win
75.6%
Market fav place
-12.3%
Market fav flat ROI

"Market fav" = blindly backing the shortest-priced runner in every race (38,658 races) — the baseline our Best Bets are measured against above.

By race shape

Our call changes with the race. This shows whether each type of call held up — and the stance we give for it.

Dominant favourite solid we say back to win
Market fav: 15419 races Win 58.1% Place 85.2% Flat ROI -10.3%
Our model pick: 15393 races Win 58.0% Place 85.1% Flat ROI -10.1%
Today's dominant favourite races:
THE MEADOWS R3 6:22 PM › THE MEADOWS R5 7:02 PM › See all 8 today ›
Competitive solid we say win or place
Market fav: 10286 races Win 40.1% Place 76.1% Flat ROI -12.5%
Our model pick: 10266 races Win 39.6% Place 75.1% Flat ROI -11.9%
Today's competitive races:
THE MEADOWS R4 6:41 PM › THE MEADOWS R8 8:06 PM › See all 4 today ›
Weak favourite solid we say place or pass
Market fav: 7177 races Win 32.3% Place 67.5% Flat ROI -13.3%
Our model pick: 7172 races Win 31.8% Place 66.1% Flat ROI -12.1%
Today's weak favourite races:
THE MEADOWS R1 5:37 PM › THE MEADOWS R2 6:01 PM › See all 7 today ›
Open race solid we say place or pass
Market fav: 5776 races Win 25.3% Place 59.0% Flat ROI -16.1%
Our model pick: 5772 races Win 23.4% Place 55.7% Flat ROI -19.4%
Today's open race races:
THE MEADOWS R6 7:24 PM › THE MEADOWS R10 8:53 PM › See all 4 today ›

Read it like this: on Dominant favourite races we say back to win, and those win most often. On Weak favourite and Open races we say don't back the favourite to win — so the low win rate there is the call working, not failing: we steered you to place or pass.

Model vs market accuracy. Across 131,237 rated runners, our model's probability error (Brier 0.0996) is a fraction behind the market's (0.0975). We don't beat the market on raw prediction — almost nobody does — which is exactly why our calls lean on race structure and discipline rather than claiming to out-pick the price.
Our pledge. We will never hide a losing run, cherry-pick a hot week, or claim an edge the numbers don't show. This page updates automatically from real results — good and bad. If a call type stops working, you'll see it here first.

Sample tags: noise under 40 · thin 40+ · fair 120+ · solid 300+ races.

Calls reconstructed from settled results using the same engine the site runs live. Flat ROI = level-stake (1 unit) win bet, scored on settled results. "Market fav" backs the shortest-priced runner every race; "Our pick" backs our model's top-rated runner where the race was rated. Past performance is not a guarantee. Not betting advice · 18+ · GambleAware.