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RICHMOND

R1 5:13 PM R2 5:36 PM R3 5:54 PM R4 6:17 PM R5 6:40 PM R6 6:58 PM R7 7:19 PM R8 7:40 PM R9 8:02 PM R10 8:25 PM R11 8:40 PM R12 8:58 PM

Race 4

6:17 PM
320m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Richmond Race Club ›
🏁 Result
1st NEAR IMPOSSIBLE
2nd LUCY VALENTINE 💡 Saver
3rd RED ROCK ALONG
4th KICKING BINS
❌ Unplaced — HEY BUBBA LOUIE didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — LUCY VALENTINE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
HEY BUBBA LOUIE P $1.10
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
8
LUCY VALENTINE P $2.15
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. HEY BUBBA LOUIE FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.75 $1.10 $2.55
8. LUCY VALENTINE 8 $5.50 $2.15 $6.10
2. RED ROCK ALONG 2 $7.00 $2.45 $6.87
1. KICKING BINS 1 $6.50 $2.30 $7.79
6. NEAR IMPOSSIBLE 6 $8.50 $3.00 $8.34
7. ALPHONSE 7 $34.00 $6.50 $20.20
Favourite record at RICHMOND ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 86% 118
1.50–1.99 this race 51% 80% 277
2.00–2.49 40% 75% 257
2.50–3.49 36% 69% 283
3.50–4.99 31% 59% 54*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.