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RICHMOND

R1 6:56 PM R2 7:17 PM R3 7:38 PM R4 7:59 PM R5 8:20 PM R6 8:41 PM R7 9:02 PM R8 9:23 PM R9 9:47 PM R10 10:08 PM R11 10:27 PM R12 10:48 PM

Race 8

9:23 PM
520m · 5 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Richmond Race Club ›
🏁 Result
1st FALSE WITNESS ⭐ Best Bet
2nd QUEEN ERA 💡 Saver
3rd SUNSHINE LILY
4th SCATTER DUNN
✅ Place bet — won outright — FALSE WITNESS finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — QUEEN ERA ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
FALSE WITNESS P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
1
QUEEN ERA P $1.18
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. FALSE WITNESS FAV TOP RATED – $1.26 $1.02 $1.83
1. QUEEN ERA – $3.60 $1.18 $4.21
7. GRAVEL DUST – $14.00 $2.45 $7.00
8. SCATTER DUNN – $41.00 $4.00 $22.45
5. SUNSHINE LILY – $71.00 $4.80 $35.61
Favourite record at RICHMOND ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.26) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 68% 85% 93
1.50–1.99 50% 78% 223
2.00–2.49 39% 76% 208
2.50–3.49 36% 71% 217
3.50–4.99 33% 58% 40*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.