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DARWIN

R1 6:52 PM R2 7:31 PM R3 7:47 PM R4 8:07 PM R5 8:28 PM R6 8:45 PM R7 8:45 PM R8 9:07 PM R9 9:27 PM R10 9:47 PM R11 10:04 PM

Race 4

8:07 PM
312m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st DANCE HER HOME 📍 Place Pick
2nd HOORAY CARTER
3rd BLUEY BABY
4th ZARA'S SECRET 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — DANCE HER HOME finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
6
DANCE HER HOME W $2.10·P $1.16
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
2
ZARA'S SECRET P $1.26
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
1
BLUEY BABY W $7.50
Form view · saver 10.4% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 42.9% (7 starts) · Recent form: 1172
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
6. DANCE HER HOME FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.10 $1.16 $2.93
2. ZARA'S SECRET 2 $2.80 $1.26 $3.77
1. BLUEY BABY 1 $7.50 $2.45 $5.33
8. HOORAY CARTER 8 $12.00 $3.70 $9.69
4. OUR GIRL FRANKY 4 $8.00 $2.70 $9.72
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.10) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 60% 80% 20*
1.50–1.99 32% 86% 44*
2.00–2.49 this race 42% 67% 48*
2.50–3.49 37% 63% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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