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DARWIN

R1 6:52 PM R2 7:31 PM R3 7:47 PM R4 8:07 PM R5 8:28 PM R6 8:45 PM R7 8:45 PM R8 9:07 PM R9 9:27 PM R10 9:47 PM R11 10:04 PM

Race 3

7:47 PM
383m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st BASTIANINI 💡 Saver
2nd CONTROL BUBBA 📍 Place Pick
3rd ALTOCUMULUS
4th EVEN BACKWARDS
✅ Place bet landed — CONTROL BUBBA ran a place
✅ Saver won — BASTIANINI finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
CONTROL BUBBA W $2.00·P $1.09
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
6
BASTIANINI P $1.16
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. CONTROL BUBBA FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.00 $1.09 $2.58
6. BASTIANINI 6 $2.40 $1.16 $3.51
2. ONTARIO 2 $16.00 $3.90 $6.66
8. ALTOCUMULUS 8 $6.50 $2.20 $9.92
4. EVEN BACKWARDS 4 $23.00 $4.75 $12.98
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 60% 80% 20*
1.50–1.99 32% 86% 44*
2.00–2.49 this race 42% 67% 48*
2.50–3.49 37% 63% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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