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DARWIN

R1 6:52 PM R2 7:31 PM R3 7:47 PM R4 8:07 PM R5 8:07 PM R6 8:28 PM R7 8:45 PM R8 9:07 PM R9 9:27 PM R10 9:47 PM R11 10:04 PM

Race 1

6:52 PM
312m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st TERRITORY GIRL 📍 Place Pick
2nd DIRTY DANCING 💡 Saver
3rd ROOSTER JAZZ
4th TORNADO TY
✅ Place bet — won outright — TERRITORY GIRL finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — DIRTY DANCING ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
7
TERRITORY GIRL W $2.30·P $1.28
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
8
DIRTY DANCING P $1.50
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
7. TERRITORY GIRL FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.30 $1.28 $3.66
8. DIRTY DANCING 8 $3.20 $1.50 $4.25
4. ROOSTER JAZZ 4 $4.80 $2.10 $4.90
1. SO NAIVE 1 $6.00 $2.40 $6.22
2. TORNADO TY 2 $17.00 $4.80 $14.03
5. INFRARED POWER 5 $31.00 $6.50 $18.28
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.30) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 60% 80% 20*
1.50–1.99 32% 86% 44*
2.00–2.49 this race 41% 65% 46*
2.50–3.49 37% 63% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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