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THE GARDENS

R1 5:50 PM R2 6:12 PM R3 6:34 PM R4 6:58 PM R5 7:19 PM R6 7:43 PM R7 8:07 PM R8 8:28 PM R9 8:52 PM R10 9:13 PM R11 9:34 PM R12 9:55 PM

Race 3

6:34 PM
400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st PAW ERIS
2nd SHE'S A ANGEL
3rd LIKE A PORSHA
4th KEY JASPER
❌ Unplaced — NITRO TOXIC didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
NITRO TOXIC P $1.34
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. NITRO TOXIC FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.60 $1.34 $2.90
5. MISS SALLY LEA 5 $2.90 $1.45 $4.21
3. LIKE A PORSHA 3 $4.60 $2.15 $6.23
2. ZIPPING SWOOPES 2 $5.50 $2.35 $7.25
8. KEY JASPER 8 $26.00 $6.75 $20.17
7. SHE'S A ANGEL 7 $31.00 $7.25 $26.00
6. PAW ERIS 6 $51.00 $11.00 $31.47
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 71% 90% 117
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 283
2.00–2.49 37% 67% 264
2.50–3.49 this race 30% 65% 366
3.50–4.99 29% 56% 59*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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