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NORTHAM

R1 3:17 PM R2 3:36 PM R3 3:54 PM R4 4:11 PM R5 4:34 PM R6 4:54 PM R7 5:19 PM R8 5:40 PM

Race 5

4:34 PM
297m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st ALISON'S MISSION
2nd MAKUTZ
3rd SASSY DUCHESS
4th CHAROS FINALE 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — BARIUM didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
4
BARIUM W $2.35·P $1.14
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
6
CHAROS FINALE P $1.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
2
SASSY DUCHESS W $7.50
Form view · saver 19.0% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 75% (4 starts) · Recent form: 1112
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. BARIUM FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.35 $1.14 $3.49
6. CHAROS FINALE 6 $3.70 $1.30 $5.22
2. SASSY DUCHESS 2 $7.50 $1.95 $5.80
1. HERE COMES MARG 1 $7.50 $1.95 $8.44
5. JUNK YARD HIPPY 5 $9.50 $2.30 $12.06
3. ALISON'S MISSION 3 $9.50 $2.30 $13.08
8. GO LILO GO 8 $41.00 $5.50 $24.01
7. MAKUTZ 7 $41.00 $5.50 $33.86
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.35) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 80% 97% 35*
1.50–1.99 57% 91% 67
2.00–2.49 this race 41% 71% 73
2.50–3.49 36% 68% 88

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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