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BALLARAT

R1 12:27 PM R2 12:46 PM R3 1:09 PM R4 1:34 PM R5 1:52 PM R6 2:18 PM R7 2:34 PM R8 2:57 PM R9 3:17 PM R10 3:36 PM R11 3:52 PM R12 4:14 PM R13 4:39 PM

Race 3

1:09 PM
390m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Ballarat Greyhound Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st SIMPLY FRIENDS
2nd SWANKY CHIC
3rd UNDERSHOT VALMA
4th YELLOW OCHRE
❌ Unplaced — ASTON FRANCESCA didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
ASTON FRANCESCA P $1.10
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
4
CALL IT FATE P $1.65
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. ASTON FRANCESCA FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.75 $1.10 $3.05
5. SIMPLY FRIENDS 5 $5.00 $1.90 $5.11
4. CALL IT FATE 4 $4.20 $1.65 $5.92
7. YELLOW OCHRE 7 $12.00 $3.75 $8.15
1. SWANKY CHIC 1 $17.00 $4.50 $9.84
2. UNDERSHOT VALMA 2 $26.00 $5.75 $12.05
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 64% 88% 119
1.50–1.99 this race 51% 81% 290
2.00–2.49 38% 72% 296
2.50–3.49 29% 61% 358
3.50–4.99 18% 45% 60

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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