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THE GARDENS

R1 2:04 PM R2 2:31 PM R3 2:54 PM R4 3:12 PM R5 3:32 PM R6 3:52 PM R7 4:12 PM R8 4:36 PM R9 4:52 PM R10 5:12 PM R11 5:30 PM R12 5:50 PM

Race 1

2:04 PM
400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st LOCHINVAR GRACE 📍 Place Pick
2nd GEORGE JUDY
3rd JASPER DARKE
4th AUSSIE OSCAR
✅ Place bet — won outright — LOCHINVAR GRACE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
LOCHINVAR GRACE P $1.38
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. LOCHINVAR GRACE FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.70 $1.38 $3.73
3. DASHING MIMCO 3 $3.70 $1.85 $5.30
4. AUSSIE OSCAR 4 $4.20 $2.05 $5.71
8. GEORGE JUDY 8 $8.00 $3.30 $7.17
6. CYCLONE SEBAS 6 $8.50 $3.50 $11.03
2. JASPER DARKE 2 $12.00 $4.20 $12.25
7. SKINNY MARIE 7 $31.00 $7.25 $17.64
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 71% 90% 114
1.50–1.99 56% 85% 260
2.00–2.49 37% 67% 246
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 65% 332
3.50–4.99 30% 56% 57*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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