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DARWIN

R1 7:25 PM R2 7:47 PM R3 8:10 PM R4 8:27 PM R5 8:46 PM R6 9:08 PM R7 9:29 PM R8 9:44 PM R9 10:04 PM R10 10:26 PM

Race 3

8:10 PM
312m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st WILLOW'S WITCH 💡 Saver
2nd SELENA'S CHANCE
3rd DANCE HER HOME 📍 Place Pick
4th OUR GIRL FRANKY
✅ Place bet landed — DANCE HER HOME ran a place
✅ Saver won — WILLOW'S WITCH finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
5
DANCE HER HOME W $2.20·P $1.24
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
1
WILLOW'S WITCH P $1.32
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
5. DANCE HER HOME FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.20 $1.24 $2.95
1. WILLOW'S WITCH 1 $2.70 $1.32 $4.03
8. SYDNEY SURCHARGE 8 $6.00 $2.40 $6.85
7. OUR GIRL FRANKY 7 $9.50 $3.50 $8.84
4. SELENA'S CHANCE 4 $14.00 $4.25 $12.34
2. HOORAY CARTER 2 $19.00 $5.00 $13.79
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 27% 81% 26*
2.00–2.49 this race 43% 67% 30*
2.50–3.49 40% 70% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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