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LAUNCESTON

R1 7:22 PM R2 7:44 PM R3 8:06 PM R4 8:24 PM R5 8:46 PM R6 9:08 PM R7 9:30 PM

Race 3

8:06 PM
515m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st GRAPEFRUIT EXPEL
2nd MANILA FRANKY
3rd JUNGLE BOOGIE
4th RED DAY 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — RED DAY didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
4
RED DAY W $2.30·P $1.22
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
8
DON'T TELL TOMMY P $1.26
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. RED DAY FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.30 $1.22 $3.09
8. DON'T TELL TOMMY 8 $2.65 $1.26 $3.25
2. MANILA FRANKY 2 $4.60 $1.80 $5.06
1. GRAPEFRUIT EXPEL 1 $7.50 $2.60 $8.40
6. JUNGLE BOOGIE 6 $31.00 $6.25 $19.50
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.30) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 69% 97% 77
1.50–1.99 53% 82% 122
2.00–2.49 this race 37% 68% 95
2.50–3.49 30% 58% 104

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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