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LAUNCESTON

R1 7:22 PM R2 7:44 PM R3 8:06 PM R4 8:24 PM R5 8:46 PM R6 9:08 PM R7 9:30 PM

Race 1

7:22 PM
515m ยท 7 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st BEARVILLE FLYER
2nd ROJO INFERNO ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
3rd CRAZY SMART โญ Best Bet
4th MILLIE MINARDI
โœ… Place bet landed โ€” CRAZY SMART ran a place
โœ… Saver placed โ€” ROJO INFERNO ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
CRAZY SMART P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win โ€” take the place, where it's still strong.
4
ROJO INFERNO P $1.34
Saver ยท place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. CRAZY SMART FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.18 $1.02 $1.72
4. ROJO INFERNO 4 $4.80 $1.34 $5.94
3. BEARVILLE FLYER 3 $11.00 $2.65 $8.67
2. ROJO COCO 2 $26.00 $4.60 $18.42
7. FASSNIDGE 7 $61.00 $7.00 $28.37
6. HIGHGATE HAZARD 6 $71.00 $7.50 $40.41
8. MILLIE MINARDI 8 $91.00 $9.50 $48.03
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.18) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 69% 97% 77
1.50โ€“1.99 53% 82% 122
2.00โ€“2.49 37% 68% 95
2.50โ€“3.49 30% 58% 104

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.