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THE GARDENS

R1 3:04 PM R2 3:22 PM R3 3:42 PM R4 4:03 PM R5 4:22 PM R6 4:44 PM R7 5:06 PM R8 5:30 PM R9 5:47 PM R10 6:05 PM R11 6:22 PM R12 6:40 PM

Race 11

6:22 PM

400m · 7 runners

🏁 Result

1st CLOSING MODEL 💡 Saver

2nd KEYS A KRACKEN

3rd CANYA SCANDAL ⭐ Best Bet

4th MUM'S ON FIRE

〰️ Best Bet placed — CANYA SCANDAL ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — CLOSING MODEL finished 1st

Dominant favourite Strong

Trust the favourite — market and model agree. Win-bet race.

CANYA SCANDAL W $1.50

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

CLOSING MODEL P $1.26

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Box	Win	Place	Our rate
8. CANYA SCANDAL FAV TOP RATED	8	$1.50	$1.05	$1.97
6. CLOSING MODEL	6	$3.00	$1.26	$4.37
3. KEYS A KRACKEN	3	$10.00	$3.20	$9.61
2. MUM'S ON FIRE	2	$19.00	$4.60	$17.29
4. CERULEAN MOON	4	$34.00	$6.25	$22.02
1. TOBY BELL	1	$34.00	$6.25	$28.64
7. AUSSIE AUDREY	7	$61.00	$9.00	$44.57

Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
<1.50	72%	93%	107
1.50–1.99 this race	56%	86%	244
2.00–2.49	39%	68%	228
2.50–3.49	28%	63%	304
3.50–4.99	31%	58%	55*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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