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BALLARAT

R1 6:27 PM R2 6:45 PM R3 7:08 PM R4 7:27 PM R5 7:49 PM R6 8:08 PM R7 8:28 PM R8 8:48 PM R9 9:08 PM R10 9:28 PM R11 9:48 PM R12 10:08 PM R13 10:26 PM R14 10:44 PM

Race 11

9:48 PM
450m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Ballarat Greyhound Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st INCLINATION ⭐ Best Bet
2nd RITZA OLD MATE
3rd PAW OLYMPUS 💡 Saver
4th PAW CHRISTIE
✅ Place bet — won outright — INCLINATION finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — PAW OLYMPUS ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
INCLINATION P $1.06
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
5
PAW OLYMPUS P $1.65
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. INCLINATION FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.60 $1.06 $2.42
5. PAW OLYMPUS 5 $4.60 $1.65 $5.63
8. PAW QUEBEC 8 $7.00 $2.30 $6.09
2. RITZA OLD MATE 2 $8.50 $2.70 $7.57
4. OKLAHOMA BALE 4 $23.00 $5.00 $17.38
7. PAW CHRISTIE 7 $41.00 $6.75 $18.30
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 62% 87% 105
1.50–1.99 this race 51% 81% 251
2.00–2.49 36% 71% 256
2.50–3.49 29% 64% 309
3.50–4.99 18% 44% 55*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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