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NORTHAM

R1 4:42 PM R2 4:57 PM R3 5:22 PM R4 5:37 PM R5 5:55 PM R6 6:12 PM R7 6:34 PM R8 6:53 PM

Race 4

5:37 PM
509m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st REVOLUTION RICO
2nd HUDSON
3rd ITALIAN STALLION 💡 Saver
4th INCREDIBLE ROGUE
Competitive Lean
Competitive race. Market favourite not confirmed by our model — see value pick below.
2
ITALIAN STALLION W $2.45
Saver · small win
Our model's top-rated runner — rates above its market price on form. The market favours another runner.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. ITALIAN STALLION TOP RATED 2 $2.45 $1.16 $2.92
4. INCREDIBLE ROGUE FAV 4 $2.20 $1.16 $2.93
8. HUDSON 8 $5.50 $2.00 $6.03
1. REVOLUTION RICO 1 $11.00 $3.40 $10.04
6. NOT ATROCIOUS 6 $26.00 $5.25 $20.09
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 96% 26*
1.50–1.99 61% 91% 54*
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 73% 52*
2.50–3.49 35% 68% 71

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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