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THE GARDENS

R1 7:12 PM R2 7:32 PM R3 7:54 PM R4 8:19 PM R5 8:43 PM R6 9:00 PM R7 9:18 PM R8 9:38 PM R9 10:00 PM R10 10:22 PM R11 10:38 PM R12 10:57 PM

Race 4

8:19 PM

400m · 8 runners

🏁 Result

1st HOLLIES HAYLEY

2nd NUTS THEN BOLTS ⭐ Best Bet

3rd ZIPPING FLORIDA 💡 Saver

4th COBBLESTONE ROAD

〰️ Best Bet placed — NUTS THEN BOLTS ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — ZIPPING FLORIDA ran a place

Dominant favourite Strong

Trust the favourite — market and model agree. Win-bet race.

NUTS THEN BOLTS W $1.80

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

ZIPPING FLORIDA P $1.34

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Box	Win	Place	Our rate
5. NUTS THEN BOLTS FAV TOP RATED	5	$1.80	$1.04	$2.56
1. ZIPPING FLORIDA	1	$4.80	$1.34	$5.52
6. LEFT HOOK ACE	6	$7.00	$1.70	$6.26
2. COBBLESTONE ROAD	2	$10.00	$2.20	$11.64
8. MRS. MINIVER	8	$10.00	$2.20	$13.05
3. KILCOY PEARL	3	$21.00	$3.70	$23.05
7. HOLLIES HAYLEY	7	$23.00	$3.75	$24.22
4. TINY MISTRESS	4	$71.00	$6.25	$45.61

Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
<1.50	72%	93%	105
1.50–1.99 this race	56%	86%	238
2.00–2.49	39%	68%	213
2.50–3.49	29%	63%	284
3.50–4.99	26%	56%	50*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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