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THE GARDENS

R1 3:17 PM R2 3:36 PM R3 4:01 PM R4 4:19 PM R5 4:37 PM R6 4:54 PM R7 5:17 PM R8 5:36 PM R9 5:55 PM R10 6:12 PM R11 6:29 PM R12 6:46 PM

Race 5

4:37 PM
515m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st RAVEN FLY 💡 Saver
2nd SERGEANT DUKER
3rd OTTO MANN
4th INDIGO PEARL
❌ Unplaced — NEED AN ALIBI didn't feature
✅ Saver won — RAVEN FLY finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
NEED AN ALIBI P $1.03
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
2
RAVEN FLY P $1.20
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. NEED AN ALIBI FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.55 $1.03 $2.46
2. RAVEN FLY 2 $2.80 $1.20 $3.83
8. VOILA 8 $14.00 $3.80 $7.87
7. SERGEANT DUKER 7 $19.00 $4.60 $10.99
1. OTTO MANN 1 $16.00 $4.00 $12.47
5. INDIGO PEARL 5 $34.00 $6.00 $29.33
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 95% 100
1.50–1.99 this race 57% 86% 226
2.00–2.49 39% 68% 195
2.50–3.49 29% 63% 267
3.50–4.99 26% 57% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.