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NORTHAM

R1 4:19 PM R2 4:34 PM R3 4:57 PM R4 5:13 PM R5 5:29 PM R6 5:48 PM R7 6:08 PM R8 6:28 PM

Race 1

4:19 PM
297m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st VELVET CRUISER
2nd AUSSIE COLLINS
3rd KEEP WATCHING 💡 Saver
4th SHINE OVER ME ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — SHINE OVER ME didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — KEEP WATCHING ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
SHINE OVER ME P $1.10
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
1
KEEP WATCHING P $1.55
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. SHINE OVER ME FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.65 $1.10 $2.43
1. KEEP WATCHING 1 $4.00 $1.55 $5.28
7. AUSSIE COLLINS 7 $6.50 $2.40 $8.00
5. ASTON NEGRONI 5 $10.00 $3.40 $8.62
8. VELVET CRUISER 8 $12.00 $3.75 $9.25
4. BLUE DANNI 4 $26.00 $5.75 $19.67
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 80% 100% 25*
1.50–1.99 this race 57% 89% 46*
2.00–2.49 36% 71% 42*
2.50–3.49 39% 66% 56*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.