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THE GARDENS

R1 3:19 PM R2 3:42 PM R3 3:59 PM R4 4:22 PM R5 4:39 PM R6 4:59 PM R7 5:17 PM R8 5:35 PM R9 5:52 PM R10 6:10 PM R11 6:31 PM R12 6:47 PM

Race 7

5:17 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SKINNY MARIE
2nd ROAD TO IBROX
3rd UNLEASH SHIRLEY ⭐ Best Bet
4th TRICKLE
✅ Place bet landed — UNLEASH SHIRLEY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
UNLEASH SHIRLEY P $1.05
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
2
MAEVE BABY P $1.26
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. UNLEASH SHIRLEY FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.90 $1.05 $3.17
2. MAEVE BABY 2 $3.80 $1.26 $5.13
8. SKINNY MARIE 8 $6.00 $1.60 $6.91
6. HOUSIE BOB 6 $11.00 $2.35 $10.27
3. AUSSIE BELL 3 $14.00 $2.70 $11.60
7. TRICKLE 7 $17.00 $3.20 $13.35
5. ROAD TO IBROX 5 $20.00 $3.50 $15.59
4. ROOKIE RED 4 $101.00 $7.25 $44.53
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 95% 95
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 87% 215
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 186
2.50–3.49 29% 63% 259
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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