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THE GARDENS

R1 3:19 PM R2 3:42 PM R3 3:59 PM R4 4:22 PM R5 4:39 PM R6 4:59 PM R7 5:17 PM R8 5:35 PM R9 5:52 PM R10 6:10 PM R11 6:31 PM R12 6:47 PM

Race 5

4:39 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st PAPER SHREDDER 📍 Place Pick
2nd WONKY KEY DONKEY
3rd IRON LADY
4th STARLIGHT DUKE
✅ Place bet — won outright — PAPER SHREDDER finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
7
PAPER SHREDDER P $1.22
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
7. PAPER SHREDDER FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.80 $1.22 $3.84
3. SPARKY KEY 3 $3.30 $1.26 $5.22
2. STARLIGHT DUKE 2 $5.00 $1.45 $6.76
4. WONKY KEY DONKEY 4 $7.50 $2.00 $7.56
1. MAGGIE JEAN 1 $17.00 $3.50 $10.45
8. IRON LADY 8 $10.00 $2.40 $10.65
5. RITZA ROCKER 5 $21.00 $3.80 $17.26
6. MARVELLOUS DUNN 6 $91.00 $7.50 $49.71
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 95% 95
1.50–1.99 56% 87% 215
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 186
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 63% 259
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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