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THE GARDENS

R1 3:19 PM R2 3:42 PM R3 3:59 PM R4 4:22 PM R5 4:39 PM R6 4:59 PM R7 5:17 PM R8 5:35 PM R9 5:52 PM R10 6:10 PM R11 6:31 PM R12 6:47 PM

Race 3

3:59 PM
400m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st LATE IN ARRIVAL 📍 Place Pick
2nd TOMMY TSUNAMI
3rd SAIL AWAY SAM 💡 Saver
4th ELLA KNOWS
✅ Place bet — won outright — LATE IN ARRIVAL finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — SAIL AWAY SAM ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
2
LATE IN ARRIVAL W $2.40·P $1.28
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
SAIL AWAY SAM P $1.85
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. LATE IN ARRIVAL FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.40 $1.28 $3.07
5. SAIL AWAY SAM 5 $4.20 $1.85 $5.56
7. MY MONROE 7 $5.50 $2.30 $6.09
1. ELLA KNOWS 1 $6.50 $2.60 $7.08
8. BARRAMUNDI LOU 8 $7.50 $3.00 $8.77
4. TOMMY TSUNAMI 4 $14.00 $4.20 $13.32
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 95% 95
1.50–1.99 56% 87% 215
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 69% 186
2.50–3.49 29% 63% 259
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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