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THE GARDENS

R1 6:07 PM R2 6:23 PM R3 6:47 PM R4 7:12 PM R5 7:32 PM R6 7:52 PM R7 8:13 PM R8 8:33 PM R9 8:58 PM R10 9:15 PM R11 9:38 PM R12 9:58 PM

Race 5

7:32 PM
515m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st FEDERAL SENOR ⭐ Best Bet
2nd HEY MAC 💡 Saver
3rd ETHANOL SECRET
4th KALANI SKY
✅ Place bet — won outright — FEDERAL SENOR finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — HEY MAC ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
FEDERAL SENOR P $1.08
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
4
HEY MAC P $1.24
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. FEDERAL SENOR FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.70 $1.08 $2.54
4. HEY MAC 4 $2.70 $1.24 $3.10
7. ETHANOL SECRET 7 $5.50 $2.05 $7.29
5. KALANI SKY 5 $18.00 $4.60 $12.04
6. UNLEASH SHIRLEY 6 $51.00 $7.50 $26.84
8. SCATTER DUNN 8 $51.00 $7.50 $38.47
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 91
1.50–1.99 this race 57% 86% 207
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 179
2.50–3.49 28% 62% 254
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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