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LAUNCESTON

R1 7:27 PM R2 7:49 PM R3 8:07 PM R4 8:29 PM R5 8:51 PM R6 9:09 PM R7 9:27 PM R8 9:45 PM R9 10:07 PM

Race 4

8:29 PM
515m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st SHIMA SAND
2nd DON'T TELL TOMMY ⭐ Best Bet
3rd URANA QUASAR 💡 Saver
4th KISSES FOR RUBY
〰️ Best Bet placed — DON'T TELL TOMMY ran a place (win bet missed)
✅ Saver placed — URANA QUASAR ran a place
Dominant favourite Strong
Trust the favourite — market and model agree. Win-bet race.
5
DON'T TELL TOMMY W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
URANA QUASAR P $1.65
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
7
KISSES FOR RUBY W $6.00
Form view · saver 3.9% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 40% (15 starts) · Recent form: 1512
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
5. DON'T TELL TOMMY FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.90 $1.14 $2.43
2. URANA QUASAR 2 $4.20 $1.65 $5.00
1. SHIMA SAND 1 $4.40 $1.65 $5.84
7. KISSES FOR RUBY 7 $6.00 $2.20 $6.07
4. STIPULATED 4 $34.00 $6.25 $19.31
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 73% 97% 59*
1.50–1.99 this race 54% 83% 101
2.00–2.49 36% 70% 74
2.50–3.49 31% 59% 85

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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