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NORTHAM

R1 4:02 PM R2 4:19 PM R3 4:41 PM R4 5:04 PM R5 5:23 PM R6 5:42 PM R7 6:07 PM R8 6:24 PM R9 6:43 PM R10 7:07 PM

Race 4

5:04 PM
297m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st FEARLESS TWO ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SHINBONER SMOKEY
3rd FREESPOOL 💡 Saver
4th PINGELLY PRINCE
✅ Place bet — won outright — FEARLESS TWO finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — FREESPOOL ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
FEARLESS TWO P $1.14
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
4
FREESPOOL P $1.50
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. FEARLESS TWO FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.70 $1.14 $2.85
4. FREESPOOL 4 $3.60 $1.50 $4.31
6. PINGELLY PRINCE 6 $6.50 $2.45 $6.18
3. FIRE FLY JOANNE 3 $9.50 $3.40 $10.20
2. BINNAWAY OAK 2 $20.00 $5.00 $13.48
5. SHINBONER SMOKEY 5 $23.00 $5.75 $18.07
8. SUMMERTIME MAX 8 $71.00 $12.00 $36.89
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 82% 100% 22*
1.50–1.99 this race 58% 90% 40*
2.00–2.49 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 41% 67% 51*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.