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WINNELLIE PARK

R1 7:00 PM R2 7:24 PM R3 7:42 PM R4 8:01 PM R5 8:17 PM R6 8:44 PM

Race 3

7:42 PM

383m · 8 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Darwin Greyhound Association ›

🏁 Result

1st SO NAIVE

2nd LUCY'S CHANCE ⭐ Best Bet

3rd FIREBALL ERNIE 💡 Saver

4th MERMAID SHIMMER

✅ Place bet landed — LUCY'S CHANCE ran a place

✅ Saver placed — FIREBALL ERNIE ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

LUCY'S CHANCE P $1.05

place only ⭐ Best Bet

Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.

FIREBALL ERNIE P $1.40

Saver · place

Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Box	Win	Place	Our rate
4. LUCY'S CHANCE FAV TOP RATED	4	$1.75	$1.05	$2.74
6. MERMAID SHIMMER	6	$7.50	$1.85	$7.80
1. FIREBALL ERNIE	1	$5.50	$1.40	$7.88
7. SO NAIVE	7	$7.50	$1.85	$8.56
8. COURAGOUS LIL	8	$15.00	$3.00	$8.70
2. SILVERSMITH	2	$11.00	$2.30	$13.31
5. LAWN KEEPER	5	$26.00	$4.00	$18.35
3. SHIAN KYLIE	3	$101.00	$7.25	$53.64

Favourite record at WINNELLIE PARK ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
<1.50	79%	91%	47*
1.50–1.99 this race	45%	88%	107
2.00–2.49	42%	82%	90
2.50–3.49	28%	71%	69

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.