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THE GARDENS

R1 7:00 PM R2 7:19 PM R3 7:41 PM R4 8:00 PM R5 8:22 PM R6 8:40 PM R7 8:55 PM R8 9:12 PM R9 9:37 PM R10 9:57 PM R11 10:21 PM R12 10:37 PM

Race 4

8:00 PM

400m · 8 runners

🏁 Result

1st ZIPPING OSAKA

2nd RAVEN FLY 💡 Saver

3rd DROP A STACK ⭐ Best Bet

4th ALFIE'S GIRL

✅ Place bet landed — DROP A STACK ran a place

✅ Saver placed — RAVEN FLY ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

DROP A STACK P $1.02

place only ⭐ Best Bet

Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.

RAVEN FLY P $1.28

Saver · place

Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Box	Win	Place	Our rate
3. DROP A STACK FAV TOP RATED	3	$1.60	$1.02	$2.49
1. RAVEN FLY	1	$4.60	$1.28	$6.08
2. ZIPPING OSAKA	2	$7.50	$1.65	$7.12
6. ALFIE'S GIRL	6	$13.00	$2.40	$11.60
5. CANYA SLAY	5	$16.00	$2.75	$12.73
7. HOT TO RULE	7	$19.00	$3.20	$17.18
8. UNREAL STYLE	8	$31.00	$4.00	$24.16
4. KEY JASPER	4	$51.00	$5.25	$34.12

Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
<1.50	77%	94%	86
1.50–1.99 this race	56%	86%	187
2.00–2.49	40%	68%	167
2.50–3.49	28%	63%	243
3.50–4.99	26%	59%	39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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