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NORTHAM

R1 3:54 PM R2 4:17 PM R3 4:34 PM R4 4:52 PM R5 5:11 PM R6 5:30 PM R7 5:49 PM R8 6:11 PM R9 6:28 PM R10 6:47 PM

Race 10

6:47 PM
297m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st NITRO NED 📍 Place Pick
2nd FEARLESS TWO
3rd JUST MUST 💡 Saver
4th TOPPER TENACIOUS
✅ Place bet — won outright — NITRO NED finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — JUST MUST ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
2
NITRO NED W $1.85·P $1.24
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
JUST MUST P $1.28
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. NITRO NED FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.85 $1.24 $3.11
3. JUST MUST 3 $2.50 $1.28 $3.36
8. FEARLESS TWO 8 $9.50 $3.20 $9.66
7. TOPPER TENACIOUS 7 $16.00 $4.00 $10.63
5. AUSSIE TRICKSTER 5 $20.00 $4.60 $12.57
6. VIVID LOVE 6 $15.00 $4.00 $13.19
4. GO LILO GO 4 $81.00 $13.00 $36.62
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 88% 32*
2.00–2.49 31% 66% 29*
2.50–3.49 45% 69% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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