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Q1 LAKESIDE

R1 4:54 PM R2 5:12 PM R3 5:34 PM R4 5:52 PM R5 6:14 PM R6 6:29 PM R7 6:52 PM R8 7:11 PM R9 7:29 PM R10 7:51 PM R11 8:15 PM R12 8:34 PM

Race 1

4:54 PM
390m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st RED HOT PENNY 📍 Place Pick
2nd HARA'S TREVOR
3rd ZABDON COSMO
4th SPRING NICK
✅ Place bet — won outright — RED HOT PENNY finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
9
RED HOT PENNY P $1.40
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
9. RED HOT PENNY FAV TOP RATED 9 $2.65 $1.40 $3.77
5. BORNEO KAWAII 5 $3.90 $2.00 $4.75
3. HARA'S TREVOR 3 $4.80 $2.25 $5.94
1. SPRING NICK 1 $4.40 $2.10 $6.13
8. DREAMER 8 $11.00 $3.70 $9.37
7. ZABDON COSMO 7 $23.00 $5.00 $18.36
2. SMOOTH PANTHER 2 $51.00 $12.00 $31.97
Favourite record at Q1 LAKESIDE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 89% 157
1.50–1.99 48% 79% 365
2.00–2.49 39% 73% 306
2.50–3.49 this race 32% 66% 361
3.50–4.99 33% 65% 55*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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