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THE GARDENS

R1 3:07 PM R2 3:27 PM R3 3:47 PM R4 4:07 PM R5 4:22 PM R6 4:46 PM R7 5:05 PM R8 5:21 PM R9 5:36 PM R10 5:53 PM R11 6:13 PM R12 6:34 PM

Race 5

4:22 PM

400m · 7 runners

🏁 Result

1st EARLY CONCRETE ⭐ Best Bet

2nd CANDY POWERED

3rd HOOKED ON HOPE 💡 Saver

4th MY OCTAVIUS

✅ Place bet — won outright — EARLY CONCRETE finished 1st

✅ Saver placed — HOOKED ON HOPE ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

EARLY CONCRETE P $1.28

place only ⭐ Best Bet

Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.

HOOKED ON HOPE P $2.20

Saver · place

Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Box	Win	Place	Our rate
1. EARLY CONCRETE FAV TOP RATED	1	$1.95	$1.28	$3.01
3. MY OCTAVIUS	3	$6.00	$2.45	$6.02
8. HOOKED ON HOPE	8	$5.00	$2.20	$6.70
6. CANDY POWERED	6	$5.50	$2.30	$6.97
2. FAMILY CREST	2	$18.00	$4.80	$11.69
4. RITZA KEVIE	4	$13.00	$4.20	$12.70
7. ALLY'S VOGUE	7	$26.00	$5.75	$22.49

Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
<1.50	77%	95%	79
1.50–1.99 this race	54%	84%	172
2.00–2.49	40%	69%	159
2.50–3.49	28%	63%	226
3.50–4.99	24%	58%	38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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