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Q1 LAKESIDE

R1 2:44 PM R2 3:04 PM R3 3:29 PM R4 3:49 PM R5 4:09 PM R6 4:37 PM R7 4:56 PM R8 5:15 PM R9 5:34 PM R10 5:53 PM R11 6:12 PM R12 6:29 PM

Race 12

6:29 PM
352m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st HOPE MOO MOO
2nd MAGIC MYSTERY
3rd BROTHER RONNY
4th GOLDSTAR GRACE
❌ Unplaced — ODDS ARE GOOD didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
ODDS ARE GOOD P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
6
MAGIC MYSTERY W $5.00
Form view · saver 30.7% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 40% (5 starts) · Recent form: 1321
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. ODDS ARE GOOD FAV TOP RATED – $2.60 $1.26 $3.88
6. MAGIC MYSTERY – $5.00 $1.55 $4.65
3. GOLDSTAR GRACE – $3.60 $1.32 $5.95
2. HOPE MOO MOO – $5.50 $1.70 $7.61
1. BROTHER RONNY – $10.00 $2.35 $11.04
5. SPRING TOULON – $16.00 $3.50 $15.27
8. GOLDSTAR FOSTER – $31.00 $4.80 $25.01
7. INDIGO BEACH – $61.00 $5.25 $31.80
Favourite record at Q1 LAKESIDE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 89% 157
1.50–1.99 48% 79% 365
2.00–2.49 39% 73% 306
2.50–3.49 this race 32% 66% 361
3.50–4.99 33% 65% 55*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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