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THE GARDENS

R1 7:19 PM R2 7:44 PM R3 8:04 PM R4 8:21 PM R5 8:46 PM R6 9:03 PM R7 9:19 PM R8 9:36 PM R9 9:58 PM R10 10:15 PM R11 10:30 PM R12 10:55 PM

Race 7

9:19 PM
400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st SAIL AWAY SAM 📍 Place Pick
2nd TOMMY TSUNAMI
3rd CYCLONE SEBAS
4th ELLA KNOWS
✅ Place bet — won outright — SAIL AWAY SAM finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
SAIL AWAY SAM P $1.38
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. SAIL AWAY SAM FAV TOP RATED – $2.60 $1.38 $3.63
1. TOMMY TSUNAMI – $2.75 $1.40 $3.67
6. ELLA KNOWS – $3.00 $1.50 $3.68
9. CYCLONE SEBAS – $14.00 $4.60 $15.25
3. MINECRAFT FUSION – $21.00 $5.50 $17.72
5. DRINK ROSE – $41.00 $8.00 $30.25
8. CESSNOCK GIRL – $61.00 $13.00 $40.01
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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