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THE GARDENS

R1 7:19 PM R2 7:44 PM R3 8:04 PM R4 8:21 PM R5 8:46 PM R6 9:03 PM R7 9:19 PM R8 9:36 PM R9 9:58 PM R10 10:15 PM R11 10:30 PM R12 10:55 PM

Race 11

10:30 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st LIPSCHITZ
2nd LAST KEY
3rd POPPY'S FOX
4th BUSHLAND BOY 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — BUSHLAND BOY didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
5
BUSHLAND BOY P $1.30
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
6. ALFIE'S GIRL TOP RATED – $4.80 $1.60 $4.67
5. BUSHLAND BOY FAV – $3.10 $1.30 $5.18
2. LAST KEY – $4.20 $1.40 $5.69
8. PURE MOUSE – $6.00 $1.85 $5.87
7. POPPY'S FOX – $8.00 $2.20 $9.28
1. LIPSCHITZ – $9.50 $2.35 $12.23
4. MISCHIEF AFOOT – $34.00 $4.80 $27.57
9. SHE'S A TURBO – $61.00 $6.00 $47.88
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.10) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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