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THE GARDENS

R1 3:07 PM R2 3:30 PM R3 3:47 PM R4 4:10 PM R5 4:27 PM R6 4:47 PM R7 5:06 PM R8 5:29 PM R9 5:50 PM R10 6:08 PM R11 6:25 PM R12 6:42 PM

Race 4

4:10 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st LOCHINVAR GRACE 📍 Place Pick
2nd SLICK SAND
3rd WHISKY BENT
4th FASCINATE ABBY
✅ Place bet — won outright — LOCHINVAR GRACE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
6
LOCHINVAR GRACE P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
6. LOCHINVAR GRACE FAV TOP RATED – $2.75 $1.28 $4.07
2. SLICK SAND – $4.00 $1.38 $5.82
7. WHISKY BENT – $5.00 $1.65 $5.91
9. VINTAGE RACER – $6.00 $1.90 $7.10
5. SPEED DIAL – $14.00 $3.20 $13.02
3. FASCINATE ABBY – $11.00 $2.50 $13.77
1. REBEL FORCE – $17.00 $3.50 $15.37
8. CHLOE'S COMET – $20.00 $3.90 $17.35
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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