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LAUNCESTON

R1 7:06 PM R2 7:24 PM R3 7:46 PM R4 8:08 PM R5 8:27 PM R6 8:49 PM R7 9:14 PM R8 9:32 PM

Race 6

8:49 PM
515m ยท 8 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st GRAPEFRUIT EXPEL โญ Best Bet
2nd HIGHGATE NELLY
3rd NITRO DE GOEY
4th REIKO HULK
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” GRAPEFRUIT EXPEL finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
GRAPEFRUIT EXPEL P $1.05
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win โ€” take the place, where it's still strong.
6
HEARTBREAK KID P $1.30
Saver ยท place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. GRAPEFRUIT EXPEL FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.40 $1.05 $2.17
6. HEARTBREAK KID 6 $4.80 $1.30 $5.63
2. POWER OF ONE 2 $15.00 $2.30 $11.38
3. HIGHGATE NELLY 3 $9.50 $1.90 $11.84
7. NITRO DE GOEY 7 $19.00 $2.80 $16.49
5. REIKO HULK 5 $26.00 $3.30 $19.87
8. CANYA SIYAN 8 $26.00 $3.30 $24.10
9. SETTLE DOWN 9 $41.00 $4.00 $26.57
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.40) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 78% 98% 50*
1.50โ€“1.99 55% 83% 88
2.00โ€“2.49 31% 66% 65
2.50โ€“3.49 30% 60% 80

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.