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LAUNCESTON

R1 7:06 PM R2 7:24 PM R3 7:46 PM R4 8:08 PM R5 8:27 PM R6 8:49 PM R7 9:14 PM R8 9:32 PM

Race 5

8:27 PM
515m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st IN THE BALANCE
2nd BLACKBRUSH GOLDY
3rd BETTER OFF
4th MR. REFINED 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — MR. REFINED didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
MR. REFINED P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. MR. REFINED FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.90 $1.28 $4.37
4. MISS BERN 4 $6.00 $1.90 $5.32
2. JUNEAU QUADRANT 2 $3.80 $1.34 $5.59
8. BLACKBRUSH GOLDY 8 $6.00 $1.90 $7.74
6. POSIE SHINES 6 $5.50 $1.75 $8.51
5. BETTER OFF 5 $21.00 $3.90 $16.83
1. BLACKPOOL HENRY 1 $18.00 $3.50 $18.63
7. IN THE BALANCE 7 $34.00 $4.80 $22.44
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 78% 98% 50*
1.50–1.99 55% 83% 88
2.00–2.49 31% 66% 65
2.50–3.49 this race 30% 60% 80

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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