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LAUNCESTON

R1 7:06 PM R2 7:24 PM R3 7:46 PM R4 8:08 PM R5 8:27 PM R6 8:49 PM R7 9:14 PM R8 9:32 PM

Race 4

8:08 PM
600m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st DON'T TELL TOMMY ⭐ Best Bet
2nd KLONDIKE CLYDE
3rd AVANT DANGER
4th ZIPPING LOWENS 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — DON'T TELL TOMMY finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
DON'T TELL TOMMY P $1.09
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
2
ZIPPING LOWENS P $1.75
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. DON'T TELL TOMMY FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.26 $1.09 $2.11
2. ZIPPING LOWENS 2 $5.50 $1.75 $5.00
4. KLONDIKE CLYDE 4 $15.00 $3.50 $9.77
6. NITRO PLUME 6 $20.00 $4.00 $13.54
7. BUCKLE UP TAJA 7 $26.00 $4.80 $17.87
8. IMPULSIVE MISS 8 $20.00 $4.00 $19.84
1. AVANT DANGER 1 $26.00 $4.60 $22.83
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.26) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 78% 98% 50*
1.50–1.99 55% 83% 88
2.00–2.49 31% 66% 65
2.50–3.49 30% 60% 80

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.