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THE GARDENS

R1 7:27 PM R2 7:46 PM R3 8:05 PM R4 8:28 PM R5 8:48 PM R6 9:11 PM R7 9:27 PM R8 9:47 PM R9 10:03 PM R10 10:27 PM R11 10:43 PM R12 11:02 PM

Race 1

7:27 PM
400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st CURMUDGEON 💡 Saver
2nd ARCTIC FLASH
3rd STREET JUSTICE
4th RAVEN FLY 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — RAVEN FLY didn't feature
✅ Saver won — CURMUDGEON finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
4
RAVEN FLY W $2.30·P $1.34
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
CURMUDGEON P $2.20
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. RAVEN FLY FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.30 $1.34 $2.58
8. ARCTIC FLASH 8 $6.50 $2.70 $7.01
3. CURMUDGEON 3 $4.80 $2.20 $8.15
6. HOT WORK 6 $6.00 $2.50 $8.88
1. DAKILA 1 $8.00 $3.20 $9.77
2. STREET JUSTICE 2 $12.00 $4.20 $11.93
7. MINISTRY 7 $23.00 $5.50 $20.82
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.30) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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