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THE GARDENS

R1 3:04 PM R2 3:21 PM R3 3:43 PM R4 4:06 PM R5 4:27 PM R6 4:49 PM R7 5:06 PM R8 5:24 PM R9 5:43 PM R10 6:05 PM R11 6:22 PM R12 6:43 PM

Race 5

4:27 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st RATTLIN' BYE
2nd SKINNY MARIE 💡 Saver
3rd DANIEL KEEPING
4th BOMB NOAH 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — BOMB NOAH didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — SKINNY MARIE ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
BOMB NOAH W $2.45·P $1.26
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
SKINNY MARIE P $1.45
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. BOMB NOAH FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.45 $1.26 $4.09
5. SKINNY MARIE 5 $4.40 $1.45 $5.83
8. DANIEL KEEPING 8 $5.50 $1.75 $6.92
7. REIKO BATTY 7 $10.00 $2.40 $8.34
2. RATTLIN' BYE 2 $10.00 $2.40 $8.84
6. FASCINATE GLORY 6 $9.00 $2.30 $10.05
3. MAXIMUM GAYLE 3 $11.00 $2.50 $12.68
4. HUMBLE TIGRESS 4 $51.00 $5.50 $35.71
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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