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LAUNCESTON

R1 7:04 PM R2 7:26 PM R3 7:48 PM R4 8:10 PM R5 8:28 PM R6 8:50 PM R7 9:12 PM R8 9:37 PM R9 9:57 PM R10 10:17 PM

Race 5

8:28 PM
600m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st ZIPPING LOWENS
2nd AVANT DANGER
3rd REINDEER HEDGHOG
4th DON'T TELL TOMMY ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — DON'T TELL TOMMY didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
DON'T TELL TOMMY P $1.08
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
1
TWO GIRLS P $1.14
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. DON'T TELL TOMMY FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.80 $1.08 $2.77
1. TWO GIRLS 1 $2.70 $1.14 $3.12
3. REINDEER HEDGHOG 3 $6.00 $1.32 $7.72
4. ZIPPING LOWENS 4 $31.00 $3.40 $17.63
2. NITRO ROSE 2 $26.00 $3.00 $22.21
5. VISTA EXAM 5 $31.00 $3.40 $25.24
7. AVANT DANGER 7 $61.00 $4.60 $37.66
6. NITRO DE GOEY 6 $81.00 $5.00 $46.25
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 78% 98% 50*
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 83% 88
2.00–2.49 31% 66% 65
2.50–3.49 30% 60% 80

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.