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THE GARDENS

R1 6:59 PM R2 7:18 PM R3 7:36 PM R4 8:01 PM R5 8:19 PM R6 8:42 PM R7 8:57 PM R8 9:20 PM R9 9:41 PM R10 10:05 PM R11 10:28 PM R12 10:43 PM

Race 7

8:57 PM
515m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st HI LO RAIN
2nd TARAWI MALIBU
3rd FASCINATE GEORGE
4th BUNDY BLUE
❌ Unplaced — SIMPLICITY MAGIC didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
SIMPLICITY MAGIC P $1.24
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. BUNDY BLUE TOP RATED 4 $2.70 $1.24 $3.45
3. SIMPLICITY MAGIC FAV 3 $2.60 $1.24 $3.73
5. FASCINATE JOSIE 5 $6.00 $1.55 $6.63
8. HI LO RAIN 8 $7.50 $1.90 $9.65
1. FASCINATE GEORGE 1 $16.00 $2.80 $14.78
7. TARAWI MALIBU 7 $23.00 $3.50 $22.43
6. MARTIN'S SHINE 6 $41.00 $4.60 $26.45
2. NOTHIN' BUT CASH 2 $34.00 $4.00 $26.60
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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