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THE GARDENS

R1 3:07 PM R2 3:24 PM R3 3:42 PM R4 4:05 PM R5 4:22 PM R6 4:43 PM R7 5:04 PM R8 5:19 PM R9 5:38 PM R10 5:57 PM R11 6:14 PM R12 6:34 PM

Race 12

6:34 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st HEADING SOUTH 📍 Place Pick
2nd SLICK SAND
3rd KILCOY TIGER
4th KARA'S VOGUE 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — HEADING SOUTH finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
7
HEADING SOUTH W $2.45·P $1.26
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
1
KARA'S VOGUE P $1.34
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
7. HEADING SOUTH FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.45 $1.26 $3.81
3. KILCOY TIGER 3 $5.00 $1.50 $5.57
1. KARA'S VOGUE 1 $4.00 $1.34 $5.59
4. SLICK SAND 4 $6.50 $1.85 $7.16
2. POSSIBLE 2 $8.00 $2.10 $11.41
6. FAMILY CREST 6 $26.00 $4.20 $13.95
10. ALMIGHTY WRATH 10 $17.00 $3.30 $15.56
9. AUSSIE AUDREY 9 $91.00 $7.00 $61.83
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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