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LAUNCESTON

R1 11:48 AM R2 12:08 PM R3 12:25 PM R4 12:42 PM R5 1:07 PM R6 1:27 PM R7 1:44 PM R8 2:04 PM R9 2:19 PM R10 2:39 PM R11 2:54 PM

Race 6

1:27 PM
515m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st DON'T TELL TOMMY 💡 Saver
2nd CARISSA'S BABY
3rd AARIELLA'S GIRL
4th TIME WILL TELL
❌ Unplaced — WYNBURN STYLE didn't feature
✅ Saver won — DON'T TELL TOMMY finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
WYNBURN STYLE W $2.20·P $1.16
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
DON'T TELL TOMMY P $1.20
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. WYNBURN STYLE FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.20 $1.16 $3.32
3. DON'T TELL TOMMY 3 $2.50 $1.20 $3.41
5. TIME WILL TELL 5 $11.00 $2.15 $8.96
2. AARIELLA'S GIRL 2 $8.50 $1.85 $9.76
8. CARISSA'S BABY 8 $13.00 $2.35 $11.34
7. BROOKDENE 7 $17.00 $2.80 $16.58
4. GRAPEFRUIT EXPEL 4 $31.00 $3.80 $31.79
6. DEADLY BREEZE 6 $126.00 $6.50 $82.26
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 96% 53*
1.50–1.99 56% 83% 90
2.00–2.49 this race 32% 68% 68
2.50–3.49 31% 60% 81

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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