‹ All races

Q1 LAKESIDE

R1 4:56 PM R2 5:18 PM R3 5:38 PM R4 5:54 PM R5 6:14 PM R6 6:29 PM R7 6:49 PM R8 7:08 PM R9 7:32 PM R10 7:51 PM R11 8:10 PM

Race 4

5:54 PM
457m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st CANYA ROMANCE
2nd SHOWMAN BAZ
3rd HOUSE OF SINS
4th SECRET STORY
❌ Unplaced — SHERIFF didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
SHERIFF P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
2
SECRET STORY W $6.00
Form view · saver 4.4% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 45.5% (11 starts) · Recent form: 1111
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. SHERIFF FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.70 $1.26 $3.99
1. SHOWMAN BAZ 1 $3.20 $1.28 $4.60
4. CANYA ROMANCE 4 $6.00 $1.65 $5.70
2. SECRET STORY 2 $6.00 $1.65 $6.23
3. HOUSE OF SINS 3 $7.00 $1.85 $9.20
5. RUPESH 5 $23.00 $3.70 $20.64
7. DAYTONA SUNSET 7 $81.00 $6.00 $45.22
10. ZIPPING NARWHAL 10 $126.00 $8.00 $59.16
Favourite record at Q1 LAKESIDE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 89% 157
1.50–1.99 48% 79% 365
2.00–2.49 39% 73% 306
2.50–3.49 this race 32% 66% 361
3.50–4.99 33% 65% 55*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.