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THE GARDENS

R1 3:16 PM R2 3:34 PM R3 3:57 PM R4 4:21 PM R5 4:36 PM R6 4:55 PM R7 5:14 PM R8 5:38 PM R9 5:56 PM R10 6:19 PM R11 6:38 PM R12 7:01 PM

Race 5

4:36 PM
515m ยท 6 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st MORNING DAYLIGHT โญ Best Bet
2nd PIRATE RIOT ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
3rd HI LO RAIN
4th MARTIN'S SHINE
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” MORNING DAYLIGHT finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” PIRATE RIOT ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
MORNING DAYLIGHT P $1.05
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win โ€” take the place, where it's still strong.
8
PIRATE RIOT P $1.90
Saver ยท place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
5. MORNING DAYLIGHT FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.22 $1.05 $1.77
8. PIRATE RIOT 8 $7.50 $1.90 $6.92
1. IBROX MAVERICK 1 $9.00 $2.15 $7.77
2. SCATTER DUNN 2 $18.00 $3.50 $15.83
7. HI LO RAIN 7 $18.00 $3.50 $17.03
4. MARTIN'S SHINE 4 $41.00 $5.25 $25.33
Favourite record at THE GARDENS โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.22) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 77% 95% 79
1.50โ€“1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00โ€“2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50โ€“3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50โ€“4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.