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THE GARDENS

R1 3:16 PM R2 3:34 PM R3 3:57 PM R4 4:21 PM R5 4:36 PM R6 4:55 PM R7 5:14 PM R8 5:38 PM R9 5:56 PM R10 6:19 PM R11 6:38 PM R12 7:01 PM

Race 2

3:34 PM
272m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st LIZZIE LONG LEGS
2nd NATURE BOY ⭐ Best Bet
3rd HOOKED ON IRAOLA
4th SHIPLEY'S GIRL
✅ Place bet landed — NATURE BOY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
NATURE BOY P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
1
PARK KEY PAW P $1.60
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. NATURE BOY FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.34 $1.02 $2.26
1. PARK KEY PAW 1 $8.00 $1.60 $8.31
2. RATTLIN' RED 2 $12.00 $2.10 $9.55
3. SHIPLEY'S GIRL 3 $11.00 $2.00 $10.03
7. LIZZIE LONG LEGS 7 $13.00 $2.15 $11.33
4. HOOKED ON IRAOLA 4 $15.00 $2.30 $11.60
6. IRONIC AUSSIE 6 $51.00 $4.40 $31.94
9. NIGHT WORKS 9 $61.00 $5.00 $38.04
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.34) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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