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THE GARDENS

R1 12:27 PM R2 12:47 PM R3 1:07 PM R4 1:22 PM R5 1:42 PM R6 1:57 PM R7 2:22 PM R8 2:41 PM R9 3:02 PM R10 3:21 PM R11 3:41 PM

Race 5

1:42 PM
515m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st LARRIKIN PIONEER 💡 Saver
2nd WITCHY WOMAN
3rd BAD KNEES ⭐ Best Bet
4th ZIPPING EMILY
✅ Place bet landed — BAD KNEES ran a place
✅ Saver won — LARRIKIN PIONEER finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
BAD KNEES P $1.18
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
8
LARRIKIN PIONEER P $1.28
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. BAD KNEES FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.75 $1.18 $2.54
8. LARRIKIN PIONEER 8 $2.75 $1.28 $3.92
6. WITCHY WOMAN 6 $8.00 $2.45 $7.17
2. TRALEE JOEY 2 $20.00 $4.20 $9.84
7. ZIPPING EMILY 7 $21.00 $4.40 $14.28
3. INDIGO PEARL 3 $34.00 $5.50 $25.26
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 this race 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.