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LAUNCESTON

R1 12:09 PM R2 12:24 PM R3 12:41 PM R4 1:06 PM R5 1:27 PM R6 1:47 PM R7 2:07 PM R8 2:22 PM R9 2:49 PM R10 3:09 PM

Race 1

12:09 PM
278m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st BUCKLE UP ALLIE
2nd LIZZY'S GIRL ⭐ Best Bet
3rd WYNBURN ELSEY
4th ARCADIAN SASSY
✅ Place bet landed — LIZZY'S GIRL ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
LIZZY'S GIRL P $1.18
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
7
FLYING CAROLINE P $1.28
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. LIZZY'S GIRL FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.70 $1.18 $2.51
7. FLYING CAROLINE 7 $2.90 $1.28 $3.35
8. BUCKLE UP ALLIE 8 $11.00 $3.10 $8.63
4. WYNBURN ELSEY 4 $10.00 $2.90 $10.09
1. ARCADIAN SASSY 1 $17.00 $3.90 $15.64
2. TAH FRANKIE 2 $51.00 $6.50 $40.85
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 96% 53*
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 83% 90
2.00–2.49 32% 68% 68
2.50–3.49 31% 60% 81

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.