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LAUNCESTON

R1 6:49 PM R2 7:11 PM R3 7:33 PM R4 7:55 PM R5 8:13 PM R6 8:35 PM R7 8:57 PM R8 9:19 PM R9 9:37 PM R10 10:02 PM R11 10:23 PM

Race 7

8:57 PM
515m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st JUNEAU REST
2nd ROSIES RETURN
3rd SKETCHY TAKEOVER
4th IVORY JAPAN
❌ Unplaced — IF EVER didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
7
IF EVER P $1.05
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
6
LITTLE DAN P $1.32
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
7. IF EVER FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.45 $1.05 $2.23
6. LITTLE DAN 6 $5.50 $1.32 $5.63
3. JUNEAU REST 3 $7.50 $1.50 $8.13
1. IVORY JAPAN 1 $9.00 $1.75 $9.90
4. ROSIES RETURN 4 $34.00 $3.80 $22.76
5. SKETCHY TAKEOVER 5 $41.00 $4.20 $24.16
2. UNCONVICTED 2 $41.00 $4.00 $26.71
10. BRING IT 10 $51.00 $4.60 $36.42
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.45) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 75% 96% 53*
1.50–1.99 56% 83% 90
2.00–2.49 32% 68% 68
2.50–3.49 31% 60% 81

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.