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LAUNCESTON

R1 6:49 PM R2 7:11 PM R3 7:33 PM R4 7:55 PM R5 8:13 PM R6 8:35 PM R7 8:57 PM R8 9:19 PM R9 9:37 PM R10 10:02 PM R11 10:23 PM

Race 5

8:13 PM
515m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st FIRE WATER BURN
2nd RAPIDLY 💡 Saver
3rd SCOOBY DANGER
4th NITRO ROSE
❌ Unplaced — MANILA FRANKY didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — RAPIDLY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
MANILA FRANKY P $1.14
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
1
RAPIDLY P $1.28
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
5. MANILA FRANKY FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.95 $1.14 $2.93
1. RAPIDLY 1 $3.70 $1.28 $5.58
8. FIRE WATER BURN 8 $6.50 $1.70 $7.29
6. SCOOBY DANGER 6 $8.00 $1.95 $8.53
7. NITRO ROSE 7 $13.00 $2.50 $11.51
2. SUNDARA 2 $19.00 $3.10 $14.93
3. DIP THE DONUT 3 $31.00 $4.00 $20.24
9. STRANGER DANGER 9 $71.00 $5.50 $45.91
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 96% 53*
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 83% 90
2.00–2.49 32% 68% 68
2.50–3.49 31% 60% 81

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.